The Green Bay Packers schedule is difficult. The team are forecasted to be competitive in the 2025 NFL season, but their win probabilities vary a little too much for most fans’ liking. We looked at each game according to expert analysis, betting odds, and predictive models, and here is a matchup-by-matchup breakdown with predicted win likelihoods for each game.
Green Bay Packers Schedule: Game-by-Game Win Likelihood
| Week | Opponent | Venue | Consensus Odds* | Favorable Outcome | Model Prediction | Win Likelihood |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Detroit Lions | Home (Lambeau) | Toss-up (GB -1.5) | Slight underdog | Loss | 45% |
| 2 | Washington Comm. | Home (Lambeau) | Packers slight favorite | Favorite | Win | 60% |
| 3 | Cleveland Browns | Away | Packers solid favorite | Heavy favorite | Win | 70% |
| 4 | Dallas Cowboys | Away | Toss-up (GB -1.5) | Small favorite | Win/Loss split | 50% |
| 5 | BYE | — | ||||
| 6 | Cincinnati Bengals | Home (Lambeau) | Packers modest favorite | Slight favorite | Loss | 55% |
| 7 | Arizona Cardinals | Away | Packers modest favorite | Slight favorite | Win | 55% |
| 8 | Pittsburgh Steelers | Away | Slight Packers edge | Slight favorite | Win | 54% |
| 9 | Carolina Panthers | Home (Lambeau) | Packers strong favorite | Big favorite | Win | 75% |
| 10 | Philadelphia Eagles | Home (Lambeau) | Even/Eagles slight favorite | Underdog | Loss | 47% |
| 11 | New York Giants | Away | Packers clear favorite | Favorite | Win | 65% |
| 12 | Minnesota Vikings | Home (Lambeau) | Packers favored | Favorite | Win | 60% |
| 13 | Detroit Lions | Away | Packers underdog | Underdog | Loss | 40% |
| 14 | Chicago Bears | Home (Lambeau) | Packers favored | Favorite | Win | 60% |
| 15 | Denver Broncos | Away | Slight Packers underdog | Slight underdog | Loss | 45% |
| 16 | Chicago Bears | Away | Slight Packers edge | Slight favorite | Loss | 52% |
| 17 | Baltimore Ravens | Home (Lambeau) | Packers slight underdog | Underdog | Loss | 45% |
| 18 | Minnesota Vikings | Away | Packers slight favorite | Slight favorite | Win | 55% |
*Odds and projections based on the most current betting lines and prediction models as of August 28, 2025
Season Prediction and Analysis
Having examined not just 2024 records, 2025 offseason additions, the 2025 NFL Draft including key players like Matthew Golden, we also looked to current betting lines across sportsbooks like YouBet.com to find some common ground. Yes, we have high hopes that the Pack will indeed challenge Detroit this year for the division, but the reality is that it’s a tough road with some strong home games. They will likely be the difference-maker.
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Projected Win Total: 9 or 10 wins, but backed into the corner, I’ll take 10
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Division Outlook: Packers are predicted to be division contenders but not clear favorites over the Lions. Let’s look at the Wildcard as being a legit shot, but keep pressure on the Lions along the way and wait for a slip-up.
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Playoff Likelihood: With odds pricing around -135 to make the playoffs, Green Bay’s playoff chances sit just above 55%
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Strengths: The team’s defense, offensive efficiency (particularly in DVOA rankings), and home-field advantage in several tough matchups
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Risks: Division performance is a concern, especially since five of their six division games are in the final stretch of the season, where late injuries and cold weather can be factors. The health of quarterback Jordan Love is of course pivotal.
Final Outlook
The Packers’ most likely wins are against the Browns, Panthers, Cardinals, Giants, and Bears at home, while toughest games (lowest win rates) are projected versus the Eagles, Ravens, Cowboys, and both Lions matchups. Overall, expect Green Bay to be a playoff contender with a predicted finish around 9-10 wins, though anything from 8-11 wins is mathematically plausible depending on in-season variables.
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