The Moneyline: Lafleur’s Impressive Streak Faces Tough Test

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The Matchup:

Los Angeles Rams

at

Green Bay Packers 

Sunday November 28, 2021 3:25PM CDT

Line as of 5pm Saturday via Bovada Sportsbook. (Click here to see all NFL current lines)

Rams -2 

Total: 47

Matt Lafleur has two and a half seasons under his belt as head coach of the Green Bay Packers. In that time, all he’s managed to do is put forth two 13-3 regular season records and two NFC Championship game appearances. As remarkable as that all is, what might be the most impressive is that as the leader of the Packers, Lafleur has never lost two games in a row.

That particular streak will be in serious jeopardy Sunday when the Packers host the Los Angeles Rams at Lambeau Field as 2-point underdogs. The last time the Packers were home underdogs in a game where Aaron Rodgers started at quarterback was all the way back on December 11, 2016. That’s how rare this is.

And what happened on that 26-degree day when the 8-3-1 Seattle Seahawks sauntered into Lambeau Field as 3-point favorites over the 6-6 Packers? The Packers scored first and never trailed, Russell Wilson threw five interceptions and the Packers curb-stomped the Seahawks 38-10.

Three weeks prior to that, sitting at an all-but-dead 4-6, Rodgers said to a disbelieving press corps, “I think we can run the table. I really do.” And run the table they did, reeling off 6-straight wins in the regular season and two more in the playoffs in route to an appearance in the NFC title game.

A Rare Occurrence/Opportunity

In fact, the Packers are 4-1 ATS when a Rodgers-led Packers team is getting points at home. So maybe Lafleur’s streak isn’t in serious jeopardy after all. Perhaps this type of slight will provide the precise amount of disrespect needed to fully activate that chip on Rodgers’ shoulder we’ve all heard about for the last couple decades.

But at the same time, this feels a little different doesn’t it? This is a beat up team. This is a tired team. This is a team playing their third-string left tackle for crying out loud, a death sentence for mortal NFL clubs. This is a group in desperate need of their bye that sits on the horizon, just out of reach. And instead of motivational catch-phrases from their all-world quarterback, the Packers (and the rest of the world) instead got unwanted close-ups of his feet. Blech.

Not only did the Packers streak of nine successful covers evaporate with the loss last week to the Minnesota Vikings, but so did their run of seven straight games under the total. Meanwhile, the Rams started the season with four straight overs, but have now gone under the number in five of their last six. The over/under for this contest opened at 50 and has since plummeted to 47.

Green Bay Packers running back A.J. Dillon (28) is congratulated for scoring his second touchdown by teammates wide receiver Davante Adams (17) and wide receiver Randall Cobb (18) during their football game Sunday, November 14, 2021, at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wis. Dan Powers/USA TODAY NETWORK-Wisconsin
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Cali Cool…But Cali Cold As Hell?

The temperature at game time Sunday should be hovering right around freezing. Not too bad for Wisconsinites, but maybe bad enough to push the team from Los Angeles to at least a measure of discomfort. More importantly than that, with the wind blowing in the neighborhood of 15 MPH steadily throughout the game on Sunday, it isn’t surprising to see the total drop in this manner.

At the end of the day this game could boil down to the performance of Yosh Niman, who will be protecting Aaron Rodgers’ blind side as the left tackle. David Bakhtiari continues to rehab his ACL from last year and with the loss of Elgton Jenkins last week with the same injury, the Rams will undoubtedly focus on Niman and try to wreak havoc on his game. It should be a dandy.

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