Type to search

The Hindsight: Bets That Hit, That We Probably Missed

(The information provided in this column is for entertainment purposes and is not gambling or financial advice. However, should you want to consider some legal sports and casino action, you could do a lot worse than an online operator that has been around for decades and has a reputation for integrity and rapid payouts. Bovada Sportsbook and Live-Dealer Casino has multiple deposit/withdrawal options and 24-hour customer service. Click here to play today and take advantage of this special SIGN-UP BONUS.)

The Green Bay Packers were in the midst of an epic run before they stumbled against the Minnesota Vikings this past Sunday. Not only did the loss end 9-straight ATS covers by the Packers, it also ended a streak of 7-unders in a row. To see a team on such a roll with both side and total is very rare…and now it’s over

If you were sharp enough to bet these plays without the luxury of hindsight, then that’s a job well-done. For the rest of us, we can only stare at the list below, shake our heads in dismay and utter repeatedly. “I knew it.”

AARON RODGERS OVER 300 YARDS PASSING & MVS OVER 100 YARDS RECEIVING (+1200)

If MVS were to have over 100 yards receiving in any game, isn’t it an almost-given Rodgers would be over 300? $100 returns $1300. Badda bing.

NO TURNOVERS (+900)

I actually looked long and hard at this offer and felt like it was a reasonable price. If the Pack and Vikes were to play this game under identical circumstances 9 times, isn’t it reasonable to assume one of those times would be a turnover-free game? I felt so, which made it a profitable bet. This was a missed opportunity. Not unlike Darnell Savage’s missed opportunity to make this bet a losing one.

Bet online safely, securely and legally with Bovada!

AARON RODGERS & KIRK COUSINS TO EACH THROW FOR 325 YARDS OR MORE  (+850)

AARON RODGERS & KIRK COUSINS TO EACH THROW FOR 300 YARDS OR MORE  (+400)

AARON RODGERS & KIRK COUSINS TO EACH THROW FOR 275 YARDS OR MORE  (+240)

To think how easily both players covered 275 yards is a little sickening. It is all so easy after the fact, right? Some really nice prices influenced by recent trends in the opposite direction. When you buck a strong trend, you can typically uncover some value that has accumulated along the way.

DAVANTE ADAMS & ADAM THIELEN 1+ RECEIVING TD EACH (+250)

I have no scientific or statistical data to back this up, but Adam Thielen ALWAYS scores against the Packers. ALWAYS! Doesn’t he? Sure seems like it. And you know Davante is usually good for one or more.

THIS WEEK: THE BEAT UP PACKERS TAKE ON THE WELL-RESTED RAMS

Rams at Packers

Line: Packers -1

Over/Under:  48

Click here to check the odds on all upcoming NFL games

Holy Toledo, Ohio! Pick ’em? This game is listed as pick ’em? What’s that you say? The Packers are actually favored? There must be a blizzard due to hit Sunday then. No? Actually, the forecast looks mild with an estimated temperature of 38 at kickoff. Practically balmy.

I love my Packers team but I think one should strongly consider backing up the Brinks truck, putting it all on the rested team coming off the bye and cheer like hell for the ultra-injured, ultra-weary team to make you pay dearly for your disloyalty. That’s how I’m leaning as we approach the Rams at Lambeau. BEEP. BEEP. BEEP.

Click to take advantage of Bovada’s $750 Welcome Bonus!

Gambling Problem?  AWARE – Always Wager Responsibly – National Gambling Helpline: 1-800-522-4700.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Image Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

 

Tags:
Andrew Chitko

Andrew Chitko is an excellent handicapper and a below average bettor. Although he is capable of uncovering keen insight in to sides and totals, he will almost certainly derail his profit margin chasing ridiculous parlays that have almost zero chance of cashing. Despite his self-awareness on these matters, expect the trend to continue until he hits a 12-teamer for a six-figure score. If he steps out of line and is convinced he has a lock, mortgage your house and bet the other way.

    1

3 Comments

  1. PF4L November 24, 2021

    What is this….a commercial ad for Bovada Sportsbook and Live-Dealer Casino?

    Reply
  2. PF4L November 24, 2021

    Getting back to football…..
    .
    We have a certain viking fan (we’ll call him Ragner), who passionately claims how good Kevin King is playing this year.
    .
    Now, lets do something …off the wall….lets try to be logical….
    .
    Is this the same Kevin King who missed 5 out of 11 games this season?
    .
    Is this the same frail Kevin King who played only 46 snaps the last two games out of a possible 125 snaps.
    .
    Oh SNAP!!
    I know what he based this claim off of…
    Kevin King just had his first interception since….12/23/2019
    Only 23 months ago…..
    Talk about an improvement!!
    .
    That must be it.
    Plus….King does have 3 passes defended this season. (wow…right?)
    Get your Pro Bowl ballots ready folks.
    .
    Tell us some more Princess…..educate us :)

    Reply
  3. PF4L November 24, 2021

    In other news……
    .
    Minnesota Vikings DE Everson Griffen refuses to come out of his home.
    .
    In related news…Mr. Griffin claims somebody stole his blanky.

    Reply

What Are Your Thoughts? Comment Now! *No Registration Required*