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When Will the Packers Draft a WR?

The Packers drafted three wide receivers in the 2018 NFL draft. Their fourth round pick, J’Mon Moore is out of football. Fifth round pick, Marquez Valdez-Scantling, is their fastest offensive player, and the one most likely to drop a catchable pass. Sixth round pick, Equanimeous St. Brown, is still a question mark if he will be healthy and/or contribute every game day.

The Packers have a good player in UDFA Allen Lazard, but most fans can imagine a young Dante Adams or Sterling Sharpe helping make the offense invincible. Last year Packer fans were wringing their hands after the Packers passed on taking any wide receiver in a draft class some pundits claimed was the best in a generation. Thirty five receivers were drafted in 2020. Well, it is NFL draft 2021 and some draft sites list close to 45 draft-able wide receivers. They are using the same terms, “deep” and “talented” as they did describing last year’s draft. Sports Illustrated has five wide outs drafted in their round one mock. The 2020 draft had six wideouts picked in round one. The 2021 draft will have quality options at wide receiver. Perhaps even in round two, where the Packers have historically had good luck with their receiver selections.

Potential First Round Selections:

Ja’Marr Chase LSU (6’1”/208)
DeVonta Smith Alabama (6’/172)
Jaylen Waddle Alabama (5’10”/182)

These three players are the consensus top three receivers in the draft because they share two similar traits, breakaway speed combined with good hands. Each has concerns as well. Chase was out of football in 2020. If you want to see what Chase can do in the NFL watch the 2019 Alabama v. LSU game. Against two top CB picks (2020’s Trevon Diggs and 2021’s Patrick Surtain III) Chase made them look powerless to stop him. Chase is the only WR who has this kind of dominant tape and the size/ speed combination to make NFL GM’s salivate.

Jan. 11, 2021; Miami Gardens, Florida, USA; Alabama Crimson Tide wide receiver DeVonta Smith (6) catches a pass in front of Ohio State Buckeyes cornerback Shaun Wade (24) during the second quarter of the College Football Playoff National Championship at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Fla. Kyle Robertson-USA TODAY Sports

Smith has 2020 tape that equals Chase’s 2019 film but he is so small he declined to be weighed and measured for the NFL Senior Bowl. He said he would do so at his Alabama Pro-day. Smith wins more with quick feet although his top end speed seems to be there after the catch.

Waddle is listed as weighing 182 but seems smaller than Smith, he is shorter at 5’10”. He also had a major ankle injury he tried to play through in the college playoffs but instead of helping his cause his obvious limping drew more concerns. His speed and hands when healthy are undeniable.

The Best of the Rest; Round II Potential

Kadarius Toney Florida (5’11”/189)
Terrace Marshall Jr. LSU (6’3”/200)
Rashod Bateman. Minnesota (6’2”/210)
Marqueze Stevenson Houston (5’10”/182)
Sage Surratt Wake Forest (6’2”/215)
Tutu Atwell. Louisville (5’9”/165)
Rondale Moore. Perdue. (5’9”/179)

Dec 19, 2020; Atlanta, Georgia, USA; Florida Gators wide receiver Kadarius Toney (1) makes a catch against Alabama Crimson Tide defensive back Malachi Moore (13) in the SEC Championship at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Adam Hagy-USA TODAY Sports

Toney was the star piece to Florida’s record breaking pass offense of 2020. (70 receptions/984 yards/10 TD’s) He did everything for the Gators, including a punt return for a TD, kickoff returns and 19 rushes for 161 yards and a TD. Concerns include three prior college seasons marred by repeated injuries, an arrest for having an AR-15 rifle in his car and some scouts are concerned he spends too much time working on his rap career.

Marshall was the “forgotten” LSU receiver in 2019 (46 catches/674 yds./13 TD’s). Without his star QB in 2020 his numbers improved slightly. (48/731/10) He is also a willing blocker which is vital to the Packers offensive scheme. Scouts question not his top speed but his playing speed. There are times he seems to be running slowly in his routes and he does not flash top speed until the play is all but over. There is also a disturbing habit of dropping the occasional ball over the middle, but he can make tough catches when the occasion arises. Talent mixed with vexing questions all verified by his tape.

Bateman has impressed most Badger fans with his tools. In 2019 he caught six passes, including a 51 yard touchdown against the Badgers that gave the Gophers an early 7 point lead in an eventual 38-27 Badger victory. Luckily for the Badgers, he shut down his season before the Badgers overtime thriller in December 2020. Bateman is strong and has all the intangibles except the break away speed that makes a receiver a first round pick. His three plus years at Minnesota are a good audition for a player who might be asked to succeed playing on a frozen tundra.

Stevenson impressed on tape as an explosive receiver with good hands that can make game changing plays. He also has experience in the return game. He took three of his 38 returns to the house. His speed jumps off the tape. He always seems to be the fastest man on the field. He is good at the over the shoulder catch and ball tracking. His weakness is strength, he can be easily knocked off routes and his blocking is…let’s say a work in progress. He projects as a slot or as the Packers gadget receiver. Unfortunately, his injury history is as long as his stat sheet. Boom/bust due to injury is a real concern.

Surratt is a big possession receiver with good hands but questionable NFL speed. His 2019 stats will get him drafted (9 games/66 catches/1001 yards/11 TD’s) He may be the best blocker of the group which fits his mental game. The kid is a battler. He does not have top wideout speed. Nor is he the best athlete in this group. His draft selection may be tied to his 40 time. Surratt missed games with a shoulder injury in 2019 and dropped out of the 2020 season. His brother, Chazz Surratt (linebacker-North Carolina) will compete with him to be the first brother drafted.

Atwell and Moore are small receivers that will need to rely on speed and quickness. If you want speed, Atwell is your draft pick. He is also an athlete. A high school dual threat QB, he transitioned to receiver at Louisville as a freshman and he impressed. His first catch in his first game went for 30 yards. He averaged over 16 yards a catch his first year and led the ACC in yards his sophomore year. He is reported to have run a 4.33 forty as a freshman in spring workouts at Louisville and was the fastest man on the team. There was mention of an injury that led to his cutting his 2020 campaign so medical reviews will factor into his draft position.

Moore is also fast and sure handed, but is a bigger mystery due to his health. He missed multiple games with a severe hamstring injury in 2019 and played in only 3 games in 2020 with a lower leg injury. If that is also hamstring related, Moore may never be the same player he was in 2019 pre-injury.

Senior Bowl Standouts

This year scouts will be relying on Senior Bowl practices and meetings as a key factor in their draft decisions, especially for players who opted out or played a limited set of games in 2020. The Senior Bowl/NFL audition had a number of wide receivers who impressed.

Kadarius Toney received high praise after the practices of Senior Bowl week. Helping his cause to be drafted early.

Dez Fitzpatrick (6’2”/202) of Louisville impressed with his practices and game performance leading all receivers with six catches and 90 yards in the Senior Bowl. He is believed to run a mid 4.4 forty and he led Louisville in receiving in 2020. (43/833/3TD’s) His draft stock suffered from being less flashy than Tutu Atwell, but the Michigan native proved to scouts he had the tools to succeed in the NFL. His sideline toe-tap catch at the Senior Bowl is but one example.

Amari Rodgers also impressed at practice and during the Senior Bowl game. His TD catch while taking a serious hit was proof of his toughness. One analyst called him a “Sterling Sharpe clone”. His numbers at Clemson could have propelled him to the first round of the draft. (2020:77/1020/7 TD’s) Rodgers ACL injury before the 2019 season has created his draft status uncertainty. His solid 2020 season and Senior Bowl will help.

D’Wayne Eskridge (W.Michigan: 5’9”/190) spent most of his Senior Bowl practices winning rep after rep. For a small receiver he has a large pass catch radius, repeatedly high pointing balls that were away from his body. For a player who never caught more than 38 catches in one season, he may have been the biggest “winner” of Senior Bowl week. There are some pundits asking if Eskridge parlayed his excellent week into day one consideration. His senior season he also returned kickoffs, with one touchdown in 17 attempts. Eskridge’s big knock is he is already 24 years old.

Tylan Wallace (5’11”/193) is well known to Oklahoma State fans. His career numbers (205/3434/26 TD’s) competes with any wideout in this draft. Can he stretch a defense? He averaged 16.4 yards per catch in college. His tape from the senior bowl shows deceptive speed, sharp cutting and very athletic ball catching, especially on long passes.

Additional prospects receiving praise include Austin Watkins of UAB. (6’1.5”/207) Named by some pundits as having the best hands of any receiver in the draft, one reason for that praise is solid technique, coming back for the football and hand placement. He has good body control and can catch balls away from his body. He fights and wins jump balls. He is also a willing blocker. The knock is his speed. If his 40 time is NFL legit, he checks a lot if boxes for the Packers.

Nov 28, 2019; Starkville, MS, USA; Mississippi Rebels wide receiver Elijah Moore (8) dives into the endzone while defended by Mississippi State Bulldogs cornerback Cameron Dantzler (3) during fourth quarter at Davis Wade Stadium. Matt Bush-USA TODAY Sports

Elijah Moore of Mississippi (5’9”/185) is a slot receiver- motion- option- gadget player with great athleticism and highlight catch ability. Analysts use words like “polished” describing his skill set. For his size he seems fearless catching and taking hits. He needs to get stronger to win against press coverage.

Dyami Brown of North Carolina (6’1”/185) has two seasons with over 1000 receiving yards. In 2019 he led the ACC in yards per catch. In 2020 he led the ACC in total reception yardage. Brown has some quick stutter step releases that reminds one of Davante Adams. Brown is thin legged and is not going to break many tackles, but he can out quick a defender for yards after the catch. He tracks the deep ball well and is precise in his short out cuts.

Two more Big Ten receivers mentioned as draft options are Michigan’s Nico Collins (6’4”/220) and Ihmir Smith-Marsette of Iowa (6’1”/189) Collins led the Big Ten in 2019 with a 19.4 yd. average. (37/729/7) He opted out of 2020. Naysayers claim he lacks speed and route running technique and is nothing more than a possession receiver who will fight for contested balls. Smith-Marsette is a fluid athletic receiver who has kick return experience added to his resume. He shut down his 2020 season due to injury. He has a rep for occasional drops of easy catches.

Last but definitely not least is a prospect who probably has watched many Packer games over the past three years. Amon-Ra St. Brown of USC (6’1”/195) is the younger brother of Packer Equanimeous St. Brown. The younger brother is a legit prospect who has experience in a pro style offense at both the slot and perimeter positions. His USC offense had him run the full route tree and St. Brown is smooth at all levels. He did not face much press coverage and strength is not his forte but he can catch the football and beat people with precise routes. What type of impact on the locker room would there be if two brothers were competing for the final receiver position? It could be a legitimate concern.

There are a number of other prospects in this draft that leave even the most negative Packer draft fan believing the Packer brain trust can find at least one addition to their receiver room in this draft. Be it another Davante Adams in the second round or Donald Driver in the late rounds the Packers need to find a dynamic contributor. Keep your fingers crossed.

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Paul Edwards

Paul Edwards is a lawyer, victim advocate, writer, and long term Packer fan and Packer history enthusiast.

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17 Comments

  1. Mick March 16, 2021

    As usual Paul, good article. The Bateman kid from Minnesota seems like the type of receiver the Packers have taken interest in; in the past. However, maybe LaFleur will be looking more for the speedy, elusive type. We already have enough of the taller – red zone type receivers on the team, which is good in the gold zone, but seldom create separation anywhere else on the field. When they split A. Jones out wide, that offense really opens up, which is proof that speed at WR is needed.

  2. PF4L March 16, 2021

    PF4L March 14, 2021
    .
    At some point through the years, are we going to get a cornerback who isn’t a liability? And i don’t know…possibly add another receiver?
    .
    We can keep asking the question, as we have for years now. But that in itself doesn’t guarantee an answer.

  3. V March 16, 2021

    Eskridge, Fitzpatrick and Rodgers. That’s the sweet spot IF they choose one of those receivers.

    1. Mick March 17, 2021

      Ya, The Wallace kid from Oklahoma ST. looks interesting too!

  4. Mick March 17, 2021

    Other NFL news, Jamaal Williams signs 2 year, 7.5 mil deal with the Lions. Also in the works, Rams and Lions working on a trade to send DL Brockers to Detroit. Since the Bears dream of acquiring QB R. Wilson from the Seahawks only created a buzz in the media, Chicago acquires A. Dalton to be their QB.

    1. PF4L March 17, 2021

      Don’t forget Linsley

      1. Mick March 17, 2021

        Ya, you’re right PF4L; I’m still bummed over losing Linsley. Apparently, they have a plan in place to move on, but those will be big shoes to fill. You just hate to lose guys like Linsley and J Williams; good players and good locker room guys.

        1. PF4L March 17, 2021

          I’m bummed that the Packers couldn’t keep Jones and Williams together, they seemed much tighter than the other so called “brothers”. The Packers could have kept Williams if they wanted to.
          .
          Detroit got themselves a damn nice compliment to D’Andre Swift on the relative cheap it seems.
          .
          Happy St. Patty’s Day brother…Keep doin what you do!

  5. PF4L March 17, 2021

    ” #38 is clocking out at 38! ” – T Willy
    .
    In other news: Z Smith restructures to fit A. Jones in the cap.

    .
    Most expect a Rodgers restructure, and a D. Adams extension to follow.
    ******************************************
    I can’t help but wonder, with Alexander expected to sign a new deal this year and once that’s done, if all these extensions and restructures puts the Packers up tight against next years salary cap already.
    .
    This may sound silly….but maybe we should have drafted for positional need in the last two, three years with those players having 1, 2, or 3 seasons under their belt coming into this season?
    .
    The Packers are still in the “keeping the team intact mode” While losing Linsley, Williams, Wagner. It’s a tough year for team improvement unless Barry can work some magic, and Gute has finally decided after 3 years as GM that we should try to win now.
    .
    We’ll see how the rest plays out. Maybe Gute creates enough space to get a mid level free agent or two, and starts drafting with an eye on team improvement now vs years down the road.
    It’s a shame he didn’t approach the draft that way in years past.
    .
    If nothing else, we still have Devon Funchess, so we have that going for us.
    .
    Should the Packers pursue Gilmore, Rhodes?
    Lets leave Richard Sherman out of this please.

    1. rebelgb March 20, 2021

      Wow you just cant let the draft shit go can you. We get it, you dont like Gutes drafts. Didnt seem to stop you from celebrating the 2020 season, or did the Pack win in despite of Gute? Give it a rest man.

      1. PF4L March 21, 2021

        Awe…..are you upset?
        You poor thing.
        Anything i can do…a hug?…maybe a cookie?
        .
        If the Packers won….wouldn’t they have been in the Super Bowl?
        What did they win…The NFC North?
        A Banner?
        A T-shirt?
        .
        The Packers were 15-1 in 2011….what did they win?
        .
        Thank you for understanding Sparky.

  6. KILLER March 17, 2021

    Some of these “tiers” or “round potentials” appear off.

    First, I’m unsure if “round potential” means that the Packers might take them in that round or that someone might take them in that round. Chase, D. Smith, and Waddle are not round one “potentials”. They are round one certainties. However, none of them will be available at the Packers pick.

    Bateman will be taken in Rd 1 by all accounts. There is likely some tiny remote chance he won’t be taken in Rd 1 but, certainly, he qualifies as a Rd 1 “potential” when he is a “round one almost for sure”. In fact, it is extremely doubtful he’d be there still at the Packers pick. If he is the Packers should run in their pick. He is Allen Robinson with better speed. He wins almost all his contested catches and has moves and speed to avoid being contested as well. He can win in so many ways. I will not be at all surprised if his career exceeds those of D. Smith and Waddle. I’m sure there are teams who have him as the #2 overall WR.

    Other WRs who have actual Rd 1 “potential” and who could also be there for the Packers’ pick are Rondale Moore, Terrace Marshall, and Kadarius Toney. Elijah Moore could go in Rd 2 as could others not listed as round two potentials.

    Tutu Atwell is one-dimensional and will not be taken in the top two rounds.

    I think the writer should define what he means with these listing: that anyone might take them in that round or that they might still be available and worth taking by the Packers with their pick.

    Accountability.

    1. PF4L March 17, 2021

      You seem (sneeze) very knowledgeable L B, with an extremely high (hiccup) football acumen.

      Please enlighten us with the percentage probability of the vikings winning the Lombardi trophy next Feb.
      Or….the percentage probability of the vikings winning the NFCCG.
      Or….the percentage probability of the vikings winning the NFC North and another Banner!….YAY!!
      Or….the percentage probability of the vikings actually getting into the playoffs this season.
      Or….the percentage probability of the vikings finishing at .500 or over.
      .
      I understand you’d much rather obsess with the inner workings of the Packers over the vikings, but…throw us a bone ol’ wise one.
      .
      Note: Hats off to the writer of this article for taking the time and knowledge he put forth in giving this site content.
      Also: For someone who never had to endure a County, State, or Federally supplied bologna sandwich for dinner, and who also can go as close as he wants to a middle school.
      Kudos Paul.

  7. PF4L March 17, 2021

    SMH…..The Packers elect to tender Tonyan a 2nd round
    Small minded.
    .
    The Packers now put themselves in the position to where another team(s) will dictate to them what they will do.
    .
    The Packers went cheap. Instead of a first round tender, the Packers saved themselves 1.3 some million dollars in tender money.
    Small minded.
    .
    I guess Gutenkunst doesn’t think 11 TD’s from a tight end (to lead the league) is worth 4.7 million.
    Small minded.
    .
    These…are the day of our Green Bay Packers

  8. PF4L March 18, 2021

    For those interested, check out “Over The Cap” concerning the Packers in 2022.

  9. PF4L March 18, 2021

    Off The Wall………
    .
    How good was Drew Bree’s?
    .
    Bree’s
    Games: 287
    Yards: 80,358
    Completion %: 67.7
    TD’s: 571
    Int: 243
    P. Rating: 98.7
    *********************
    Favre
    Games:302
    Yards: 71,838
    Completions %: 62.0
    TD’s: 508
    Int: 336
    P. Rating: 86.0

    1. Mick March 19, 2021

      Oh yea; not too shabby for a QB that was tabbed too small coming out of college. Two things they were short on in their evaluation———- heart and leadership!