As most sports fans are well aware, it’s always best to take betting markets with a pinch of salt. More often than not the preseason favorite for the Super Bowl does not go all the way lift the Vince Lombardi Trophy at the end of a long campaign. In fact, only on a handful of occasions in the last 20 years has the team deemed the top pick by bookies gone on to win the Super Bowl. On the other hand, teams backed in the betting markets tend to do quite well overall. The Chiefs were among the favorites last season, for example.
But for fans, perspective is always important. If we go all the way back to 2010 and the Packer’s journey towards Super Bowl XLV glory, it’s interesting to see how the odds ebbed and flowed throughout the year. In February 2010, the Packers were priced at around 16/1 (+1600). Those odds started to tumble across the summer months, with the Packers eventually starting the season as 11/1 shots. A 10-6 season will always have its up and downs, but Green Bay had shot up to 22/1 by Week 15. By the time the Packers reached the Conference Final, they were the favorites (8/5). The rest, as we know, is history, and the Packers started off Super Bowl XLV as the odds-on favorite (7/10) before defeating the Steelers at Cowboys Stadium (all odds sourced from sportsoddshistory.com).
But what about this season? Can we get any clues about the Packers’ chances? Let’s dive in for a complete look at what the sportsbooks are saying:
We used Freebets.com to compare lots of different bookmakers, and the most common price we can find for the Packers at this point is 20/1. That’s coming from Bet365, Betfair, Paddy Power, Coral and Betway. That gives the Packers a ranking of 12th in NFL. The price of 20/1 is actually quite similar to the odds offered last season when the Packers were just one game away from the Super Bowl, so nobody should be dismissing the team’s chances. The highest price we could find was 28/1, coming from Unibet and 888sport. Sky Bet seemed to have the most faith in Matt LeFleur’s men, offering odds of 16/1.
As for winning the NFC, the most frequent odds seem to be around 10/1 and 11/1. Those prices are coming from the same bookmakers who put the 20/1 chance on a Super Bowl win. 888sport has cited 14/1 for the Packers to win the NFC, almost as a high a price as the 16/1 Sky Bet had for the Super Bowl victory. Those margins bear thinking about it if you to do decide to bet on your team preseason.
A really interesting market here because very few bookmakers split the Packers and Vikings in their assessment. The best odds you can get for either team seems to be the 7/4 offered by Paddy Power. Some bookmakers rate the Bear’s chances relatively highly at 3/1, and none really rule out the Lions (6/1, general). It points to a tight race.
A simple yes/no market, but one that is clearly important for fans. The good news for Cheeseheads is that there is unanimous agreement among sportsbooks that the Packers are more likely than not to reach the postseason. 888sport offer odds of 7/10 that they do go to the Playoffs, and it’s 11/10 that they finish the season early.
You will find countless articles trying to predict exactly how many wins and losses the Packers will rack up this season, and you can guarantee that all fans would be happy with another 13-3 regular season like last year. Bookmakers will differ on where they put the line for over/under markets. Unibet seems to have taken the sensible approach, putting it at 8/11 for over 8.5 wins and at 11/10 for under 8.5 wins. For Packers fans, the former feels like the bare minimum for the season, whereas the latter would spell disaster.
I remember a time when it was pretty much a “given” that the Packers would be in the playoffs. The only question was how deep they’d get.
This coincided with the last time i was at a game or spent any money on this team. This was going back to when the Packers stated goal was to reach the Super Bowl. What do we hear these past few years from the Packers brain trust? “Getting into the playoffs in the NFL isn’t easy”
But we’ve been lucky enough to get in the playoffs once in the last 3 years.
I know 2 people that will be cheering this Packer team on hard each and every game….from the sidelines.
1st round picks Jordan Love and Rashan Gary, so we have that going for us.
Green Bay Packers…”ALL IN (cough)”
If this keeps up any longer i’m going to e-mail Gute, tell him to wave the white flag and just start drafting for the post Rodgers era.
Maybe even raise ticket prices.
Brett Favre is dead in my eyes.
Why would he insult a real life American hero’s memory?.
Does anyone actually think there’s going to be a full season? No matter what you think about Covid, the fact is that governors in particular are spooked by this & the states are in their control. How can they have a season if the governor of even one state where a team resides says “Nope – not here”?
Take for example Texas, where cases are on the rise. I doubt they’ll close again, but even if social events are banned temporarily, do you think Jerruh Jones would sit quietly while the Cowboys lost a home game?
I dont know – not trying to be negative but I’ve had a few beers & everything just seems so fucked. Til the end, Go Pack Go – and fuck Coronavirus.
This season is not going to happen. At least not with fans in the seats. They would also have to sequester ALL of the players for the whole fucking season (and postseason) so that they are not contagious or susceptible to getting it from another player who caught it at the high dollar night club from some trollop gold-digger looking to score big . . . This season is most likely done. Same with BB and Baseball. Golf is most likely one of the very few that can continue due to it being non-contact. Time to get the rod’s and reel’s, gun’s and ammo, and the porn videos out folks! It is going to be a long wait for any team sport to start up again. We have entered into a new realm. And it will take a long time to get it back to anything close to where it was . . . Hell! how can we shut this Covid-19 down if we cannot even participate in trying to stop it by wearing masks and washing our fucking hands? If anybody really cared about ending this shit, they would start listening to the scientists and the medical field! Not some loser who’s filed bankruptcy 6 fucking times and tells us that we can get cancer from windmills. This country is peaking again because we are too fucking childish to suck it up and work with the experts . . . instead 40% of us prefer to take advise from a fucktard. Just look what is happening! Everything is starting to raise to higher levels than before. Stay safe! Stay healthy and wear a fucking mask!
6 weeks ago, i was 100% sure we’d have a full season of football.
Now the thing to me is..it’s all about how many players contract the virus and spread it (and they will) as MMSUCKS eluded to.
As far as no fans in the seats, it’s crazy…but my .02 is i don’t care as long as games are played. I have never….tuned into any sports events, to watch the fans. No big deal to me.
The information we get on this virus is so politicized (from both sides) that it is getting nauseating to listen to.
I believe that we won’t have a handle on this virus until a real and effective vaccine comes out.
I don’t go into heavy crowds, and i treat this much like we did with stay at home orders. If everyone did, i think we’d be better off, but i get how people need to open things back up and make a living.
Think wisely, make good decisions, and most of all stay healthy.