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Past Tells Us How Aaron Rodgers Might Play In Return

Green Bay Packers fans and football enthusiasts across the nation are wondering the same thing: how will Aaron Rodgers do on Sunday? I might have the answer.

In 2013, Rodgers broke his collarbone, missed seven games and then returned near season’s end to try to secure a playoff berth for his team. This same scenario exists now, so we could see much the same result.

It was on December 29, four years ago, that Rodgers took the field – Soldier Field – against the Chicago Bears. The Packers’ record was 7-7-1 and Rodgers was relieving QB Matt Flynn, who had been slightly more effective than Seneca Wallace and Scott Tolzien, Until Rodgers’ injury, Green Bay had been cruising along with a 5-2 record.

The Packers started slowly, with only a field goal to show as the first half neared an end. But with under four minutes to go, Jarrett Boykin picked up a ball that everyone thought was an incomplete pass; he eventually got the word from Rodgers that it was a live ball, so he strolled 15 yards into the end zone. It was ruled a fumble, and it gave the Packers a 10-7 lead. Mason Crosby added his second field goal with two seconds remaining in the half.

In a busy third quarter, Chicago took the lead at 14-13, but Rodgers responded with a 7-yard toss to Randall Cobb for a 20-14 lead. The Bears regained the lead 21-20 on Matt Forte’s second short touchdown run.

On the first play of the fourth quarter, a completion to Brandon Marshall gave Chicago a 28-20 lead – setting the stage for Rodgers to take charge.

It took six plays for the Packers to go 77 yards. Nine of those yards came on three runs by Eddie Lacy. The other three plays were: Rodgers to Jordy Nelson for 34 yards, Rodgers to James Jones for 12, and Rodgers to Andrew Quarless for 22. No incompletions – Aaron was back in a groove.

Jay Cutler then led a nine-play drive, but Chicago had to punt, giving the Packers the ball on their own 13, with 6:24 to go. The spotlight was now fully on the Packers’ leader.

Fourteen plays ensued. Six runs by Lacy or Aaron Ripkowski got the team all of seven yards – the run game wasn’t going to lead the Packers to victory. The passing game was only a bit better: seven yards to Lacy, seven to Jones, an incompletion, a 5-yard scramble by Rodgers, seven yards to Nelson, six more yards to Nelson, and two more deep incompletions, to Nelson and Quarless.

The season was now down to 46 seconds, and 4th-and-8 from the Bears’ 48-yard line – this was the third fourth down of the drive. Rodgers, flushed left and on the run, spotted Randall Cobb wide open downfield. He hit him perfectly to account for the final 33-28 score.

Aaron Rodgers to Randall Cobb

It was anything but a strong all-around game by Rodgers. He threw a bad pass in the end zone toward Boykin in the second quarter, and he later threw a bit behind Nelson, resulting in a second interception, and he had that fumble. His numbers on the day: 25-of-39 for 318 yards, two TDs, two interceptions, and a passer rating of 85.2 – versus Cutler’s 103.8.

This is what we might expect from Rodgers in a few days. Some rustiness to start with, but getting into a rhythm as the game goes on, and clutch play when the game is on the line. I’d add that Rodgers did not play cautiously – he was sacked three times, he had a successful run on fourth down, and he scrambled around for much of the game.

This was the season’s climax. A week later the Packers lost at home 23-20 to Colin Kaepernick and the 49ers. In that affair, the Packers elected to run 31 times and pass only 26. Rodgers went for a pedestrian 17-of-26 for 177 yards, one TD, no interceptions, four sacks, and a passer rating of 97.8.

Okay, there are a couple of tiny differences between 2013 and this year. The Bears were 8-7, while the Panthers are 9-4. And the Bears were led by Jay Cutler, not Cam Newton. But other than that…

Rob Born

Smart drafters don’t select the best available players, they fill a team’s positions of greatest need.



  1. PF4L December 13, 2017

    You forgot the article Title my man. Father time is a bitch for all of us.

    Two other difference’s…..

    1) Back then it was Rodgers non throwing shoulder.

    2) The Bears defense ranked 30th in the league, giving up almost 400 yards a game, and a pathetic 29.9 PPG.
    whereas the Panthers defense now ranks 5th, giving up 20 PPG.

    I’ll never forget how sweet that Cobb TD was, back when Cobb was playing for a contract. Beating a Cutler led Bear team never ever got old.

    1. PF4L December 13, 2017

      Title is now up.

  2. Phillthy December 13, 2017

    What a game, if y’all haven’t check out oakcreektv on YouTube, they have a magnificent version of that game that’ll make you shed a tear.

    As for Rodgers this week.
    Perhaps I’m a bit caught up in all the gusto, but I imagine a man fired up and ready to take this team where it belongs. Aside from a bad game against the Falcons, this team was hitting it’s stride. Now we have an established running game to go along with the best QB in the league making us more dynamic.
    The one scary thing no one talks about is the loss of Bulaga. It’s hard to tell with Hundley at QB how much that affected the team, but we will find out Sunday.

    1. Cheese December 13, 2017

      “ready to take this team where it belongs”

      Not sure where you’re going with that. Have you noticed the secondary as of late? Their top CB is Damarious Randall.

      1. PF4L December 14, 2017

        Based on the past 6 seasons, this team belongs to getting in the playoffs.