Shawn (2-4, 2-4 ATS): This is a huge game for the Green Bay Packers. A good performance from Brett Hundley and a win would put the Packers at 5-2 going into the bye, and that would change the atmosphere in Titletown nearly 100%.
There are some winnable games after the bye, and if Hundley could win just three more of them, after this one, then the Packers would be 8-6 going into Week 16 and a possible return of Aaron Rodgers. There is absolutely no reason to think 10-6 doesn’t get you into the playoffs in the NFC this year. Hell, 10-6 might win this damn division again.
Plus, I’ll throw two other things out there. The Packers under Mike McCarthy have a history of overcoming injuries to play better than you expect, and secondly, McCarthy has won with less talent at QB than Brett Hundley.
Also, Quentin Rollins and Damarious Randall finally being off the field in time for the New Orleans Saints might be a classic addition by subtraction. We will see. It looks like Kevin King will be back out there, and we’ll see whether that gives Dom Capers enough confidence in his corners to roll with some man coverage once in a while instead of the predominant and crap zone we saw last week.
Yeah, that would be a great story.
Unfortunately, Drew Brees will be on the other sideline. This is the same Drew Brees that knows more about Dom Capers’ defense than Dom does. The same Drew Brees who averages 38 points a game against the Packers. Sure, that includes some big numbers in the dome in New Orleans, but he hasn’t exactly been off at Lambeau Field either. And this is a pass defense that hasn’t shown us anything since the anemic Seattle Seahawks crept in here in week 1. Shit, even the Bears and Mike Glennon threw pretty much at will against this Packers’ secondary.
Considering I stayed true to where I would have put my money the last three weeks, and was wrong all three weeks, I could buck that trend and just go for the great story. I probably SHOULD just jump on board for the big win and start dreaming how great life will be at 5-2 with a win under Hundley’s belt and the chance for a Rodgers return at the end of the season.
Maybe I should, but I won’t. The Saints will put up too many points. Hundley will score some, but not enough to keep pace. I like the Saints and the Saints to cover.
The only times the Packers have won this month is when I picked them to lose. So, there is that.
Saints 35, Packers 26
Monty (4-2, 3-3 ATS): Man, I love that guy.
Last week, he accused me of being hopeful. Well, I’m not going to be hopeful right now. I do think Brett Hundley can play. However, I think the Saints and Drew Brees have too much for the Packers.
The Saints seemingly suddenly have a defense. They’ve always had an offense, but haven’t had the latter since that rapist Darren Sharper was manning the secondary.
I don’t necessarily think that defense is going to stop Hundley and the Packers. However, I will take Brees in a shootout, which I think this could turn into.
I don’t like the spread, but I do like the over.
Saints 35, Packers 27