The Davon House Deal: Ted Thompson Was Too Timid
The signing of Davon House is great news for Green Bay Packers’ fans. It took well less than a week for almost all the quality cornerbacks to be snapped up in free agency. Let’s go right to the raw data.
Here are the players, their new team, their age, their annual salary (and how many years), their previous team and where they were drafted.
Rams, Trumaine Johnson (27), 1 for $16.7, Rams, 3/65
Jaguars, A. J. Bouye (25), 5, $13.5, Texans, undrafted
Patriots, Stephon Gilmore (26) 5, $13, Bills, 1/10
Bengals, Dre Kirkpatrick (27) 5, $10.5, Bengals, 1/17
Titans, Logan Ryan (26), 3, $10, Patriots, 3/83
Bears, Prince Amukamara (27), 1, $7, Jaguars, 1/19
Bills, Micah Hyde (26), 5, $6, Packers, 5/159
Bears, Marcus Cooper (27), 3, $5.33, Cardinals, 7/252
Panthers, Captain Munnerlyn (28), 4, $4.25, Vikings, 7/216
Lions, D.J. Hayden (26), 1, $3.75, Raiders, 1/12
Packers, Davon House (27), 1, $3.5, Jaguars, 4/131
Notes: I’m counting Hyde as a cornerback. Johnson was paid the franchise tag amount. Kirkpatrick got an extension from his own team.
The House Deal
As the above numbers indicate, getting Davon House for one year at $3.5 million is a great deal… and a terrible one.
I’d advise House to get a new agent. I’m confident that he’s worth much more than that. Just think, Micah Hyde just got a five-year deal averaging $6M per year.
I’ve been meaning to sound off about these one-year “prove it” deals that Ted Thompson has become enamored with. The trouble is that when they prove their worth, they then leave the team.
Apparently, despite all of the evidence – and House being watched every instant from 2011 through 2014 by Packers’ coaches and brass, Thompson still wants to “play safe.” He’s just not sure. He knows he was wrong once when he let him go, so now he’s worried he’ll be wrong again by bringing him back.
Sorry, Ted Thompson supporters – okay I’m assuming a lot there – this was timid, ambivalent, unconfident, chicken-shit negotiating.
It’s like Thompson is counting on House to fail. I’d wager he could have gotten House for a three- or four-year deal at $4.5M per year. Now, if House has a good year, his value will go to $7M or $8M, and the Packers will lose him.
Prove-it deals have their place, such as with Eddie Lacy.
But the Packers should have been confident about Jared Cook’s ability and worth. They weren’t, and he’s gone after just one year.
Then there’s Nick Perry. In 2016, he got the Thompson one-year special for $5 million. He proved his worth, but now it’s going to cost the Packers up to $12M for each of the next five years. This illustrates another negative: by the start of the 2020 season, Perry will be 30 years old, and likely not worth $12 million, in which case the Packers will likely release him, so it will probably end up being more like a three-year contract.
Once again, the Packers almost surely could have gotten Perry last year for four years at $7M per year, a total of $28M. Now though, those four years are going to cost $41M.
It all boils down to Thompson, and maybe the entire front office, not trusting in their own ability to evaluate football talent. So why is Ted Thompson the team’s general manager if he’s unable to confidently make – and act upon – such assessments?