Do the Packers Have Matthew Stafford’s Number?
Though Detroit and Green Bay have had several exciting contests since Matthew Stafford joined the Lions in 2009, the Packers have almost always prevailed, especially when the stakes were high.
As we await the second Packers/Lions clash of the year, here’s a summary of how Stafford performed in the games he’s played in against Green Bay (* = Matt Flynn was GB’s QB):
|2016 (1)||28||41||385||3||1||112.3||34-27 L|
|2015 (1)||24||38||242||2||1||87.8||18-16 W|
|2015 (2)||23||35||220||2||0||102.1||27-23 L|
|2014 (1)||22||34||246||0||2||61.6||19-7 W|
|2014 (2)||20||41||217||3||0||89.2||30-20 L|
|2013 (1)||25||40||262||1||0||89.8||22-9 L|
|2012 (1)||17||39||266||1||2||54.0||24-20 L|
|2012 (2)||27||45||264||1||1||74.7||27-20 L*|
|2011 (1)||32||45||276||1||3||66.5||27-15 L|
|2011 (2)||36||59||520||5||2||103.8||45-21 L*|
|2009 (2)||20||43||213||1||4||30.5||34-12 L|
Stafford’s best performance against Green Bay was in the teams’ first contest this year. Stafford had his best passer rating and threw for big yardage. But he failed to finish his final drive, when Damarious Randall knocked away his short fourth down pass at the goal line.
The second meeting of the teams in 2015, on December 13, featured the Aaron Rodgers-to-Richard Rodgers Hail Mary finish. Stafford had built up a 17-0 first half lead, but Detroit was limited to two field goals in the second half. The Packers, meanwhile, scored all of their 27 points in the game’s final 21 minutes.
In 2014, Green Bay faced a similar situation to that of this year: a final game of the regular season against Detroit, with the two teams sporting identical records (11-4). Things looked bleak when Rodgers was carted away in the second quarter with a left calf injury. To the cheers of the fans, however, he hobbled back onto the field midway through the third quarter. Though immobile, Rodgers proceeded to lead the Packers on two touchdown drives, sparking the 30-20 comeback win. Stafford completed fewer than half his passes (20-41), and only averaged 5.3 yards per attempt in the game.
Stafford has been a prodigious thrower against Green Bay, averaging 41.8 passes per game. His completion percentage in these contests, however, is only 59.6. His yardage has also typically been very modest for the number of throws he has attempted. His touchdown to interception ratio is a very poor 20-to-16.
Stafford’s past stats bode well for the Packers. However, the victory margins have been shrinking.
Perhaps the most telling of Stafford’s numbers, though, are those of his last two games. Against the Bears on December 11, Stafford dislocated the joint and tore tendons in the middle finger of his throwing hand. Since that time, and while wearing a splint and a special glove, Stafford’s production has been:
Mortgage the house if need be, but put your money on Green Bay this Sunday.