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Week 11 Predictions: Green Bay Packers at Washington Redskins

Shawn (4-4, 2-5-1 ATS): I am 4-4, having skipped one week, and the Green Bay Packers are 4-5. It is no coincidence. I have picked the Packers every week so far. You can cry “homer!” all you want, but the Packers were favored in every one of those games but two.

The bettors are wising up though. The Packers are 3-point dogs on the road to the Washington Scalps. It should be more.

What a difference a year makes. Last season, the NFC East was the worst division in the NFC. The Redskins won the division by going 9-7 and got themselves a home game in the playoffs. As it turns out, the Redskins’ mediocrity was the salve the Packers needed to overcome their own mediocrity. The Packers briefly woke up and won the game.

This season the NFC East is the best division in the NFC. If the playoffs started this week, the NFC East would get three teams in, including the 5-3-1 Redskins. The Packers would be out.

We’ve seen this act before. The Redskins enter the game with the fourth-ranked offense in the NFL. The Packers’ defense in the last three weeks has been DOA. So, once again, the Packers’ offense may be asked to outscore their opponent.

Maybe Aaron Rodgers will reclaim some of the magic he worked here in the playoffs last season. Maybe the return of Clay Matthews will allow the defense to rediscover themselves. Maybe realizing their backs are against the wall will ignite the Packers.

I wouldn’t bet on it. The Packers’ compass is pointing down. Whether they are in disarray, don’t give a shit, or just aren’t any good, it call comes out to the same result. If the Packers don’t give up 21 points in the first quarter again, they might stay in the game, but in the end, their own inconsistencies will kill them.

In the end, the Redskins are better than they were last season. The Packers are worse.

Take the Packers on the road? Hahaha… That’s a good one.

Redskins 31, Packers 24

Monty (4-5, 1-6-2 ATS): This is the week I finally wise up and don’t pick the Green Bay Packers.

I do think the Packers have a shot in this game, primarily because they went on the road in the playoffs last year and beat this same team. However, as Shawn pointed out, the Redskins are a better team and the Packers a worse one than a year ago.

Throw in the fact that these Packers are now in complete disarray and I see no reason anyone should be betting on them.

The Packers’ defense has been exposed. They’ll be exposed again by Washington. The coaching, and as an extension, the offense is garbage. That’s not going to correct itself at this point.

I will pull for the Packers until the bitter end. However, that doesn’t mean this team isn’t a total embarrassment to the great state of Wisconsin.

They are and will likely remain so until some changes are made.

Redskins 34, Packers 17

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Shawn

Shawn Neuser attended UWGB and lives and works in Green Bay. He enjoys long walks on the beach and being intimate with game film.

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30 Comments

  1. Kato November 20, 2016

    Redskins 35 packers 17. All hope is gone.

    1. PF4L November 20, 2016

      At the end of the day. The Packers losing, is the only hope i see..

      1. Kato November 20, 2016

        This is true. I have no hope for the packers this year*

      2. PF4L November 20, 2016

        Shawn…We need you around every week for your insight and prediction.

        No more weekends in jail ok?

  2. PF4L November 20, 2016

    Something, i don’t know what, but something is telling me to take the Packers. Maybe it’s Mathews back, maybe it’s just odds. Maybe it’s because i believe Aaron Rodgers, is still Aaron Rodgers. Maybe it’s all of the above.

    Packers by 4

    1. icebowl November 20, 2016

      Starks goes nuts, however gets reinjured, new RB1 Christine comes in big to give them lead…

      Offense stalls and Defense collapses in 4th quarter

      Yet Pack holds on – wins by 3.

      I can dream…

  3. gort November 20, 2016

    I ain’t buying what PF4L is selling. Too many missing pieces and not enough enthusiasm.

    1. PF4L November 20, 2016

      Smart man.

  4. Howard November 20, 2016

    Based on some of the game day and game time decisions the Packers make, it could make some wonder how much money someone is making betting against the Packers. This week I would bet on the Pack to win, no points needed.

    The Redskin D is not that good, they could barely get pressure on the Vikings QB and that is a bad Oline. There linebackers, and DBs are not great in pass defense, except maybe Norman and I say Rodgers should also take on Norman. If there is one set of DBs worse than the Pack at tackling it may be the Redskins. With Cook and maybe a running game back the offense is going to be more dynamic, just give Ty more attempts. The redskin offense won’t keep up.

    The Packer D will stop the redskin run game. One dimensional offensive teams the Packers D can handle. Let’s just hope they figure out a way to handle the redskin TEs or at least slow them down. The real question is can the D put pressure on Cousins. I think they will because it is put up or shut up time. This is another punter that will over kick his coverage if punting from deep in his territory. New snapper for redskins, Lavato to me gets the ball back to the punter a tick slower than some. Maybe STs can help out this week? Start Fast and Finish Strong! GO PACK!!!

    1. Howard November 20, 2016

      My optimism is extinguished for this season. Boy am I a dumb fuck for having any faith is this group.

  5. icebowl November 20, 2016

    Real turning point game, Though not sn uncommon trend…

    In 2015 four teams made playoffs after starting 4-5. 25 teams with losing records through first nine games did same since 1990.

    The schedule could help – last three games of the season are against NFC North rivals…

    1. PF4L November 20, 2016

      I hear what you’re saying, but i see the next 4 games as being the problem. Skins. Eagles, Texans, Seahawks. The best i see them going is 2-2. Which leaves the Pack with a record of 6-7 with 3 games left. Then they would have to win out, for a remote chance.

      Playoffs…Not this year.

      1. icebowl November 20, 2016

        All moot now….
        Fucking Defense blows another one…
        Agree w Colinsworth – Can’t blame #12 for this one

        1. PF4L November 20, 2016

          I’m waiting for the Mike McCarthy meltdown. It may not happen tonight, maybe not next week, but it’s gonna happen.

  6. Zwoeger November 20, 2016

    I stay relaxed whatever. Probably I can call MM McSmackedintheface further on.

  7. Bobby D November 20, 2016

    Nothing really to look forward to! Murphy has no balls and as a result, won’t fire the 3 stooges responsible for this fucking mess. Has to start with the awkward, dick licking, anti social freak of a GM. Overrated and incompetent, just like fat boy and the combover D.C.
    If it would cost the white rat his job, I’d setttle for third place right now. Can’t draft, won’t trade and won’t sign a FA. What a uselsss piece of shit!!!!

  8. PF4L November 20, 2016

    In about a 1/2 game today. The vikings defense, and special teams have scored 14 points.

    The Packers defense and special teams have scored 0 points…in 9 games.

  9. Icebowler November 20, 2016

    They have not one, but two pass-catching TE’s?…we’re toast.

  10. Vijay Swearingen November 20, 2016

    Surely, a TOP 10 Draft Pick with Grandpa Teddy picking the groceries will cure all of our ails. #2017NFLDRAFT

  11. PF4L November 20, 2016

    It’s 2016. I don’t know why Ted just doesn’t come out of the closet.

    1. Bobby D November 20, 2016

      He should just find Mr. Right and stay in the closet and never come out…….put a bathrobe on him and he gets a co-starring role in One Flew Over the Cuckoos Nest Part 2. Old old Teddy is a bonafide mental patient.

  12. Deepsky November 20, 2016

    The Packers will be down 3 scores by halftime. No one on defense wants to win for Aaron Rodgers and Clay Matthews.

  13. Kato November 20, 2016

    Demetri Goodson’s knee injury was gross. Not for the faint of heart

  14. PF4L November 20, 2016

    Although i’m hardly a Goodson fan. Godspeed to his recovery. That was seriously nasty. Looked like multiple ligament tears.

  15. PF4L November 20, 2016

    Pro Football Focus ✔ @PFF
    Kirk Cousins’ QB rating so far tonight when targeting these CBs…
    Ladarius Gunter: 158.3 (perfect)
    Micah Hyde: 158.3
    Quinten Rollins: 158.3

    1. icebowl November 20, 2016

      Ouch…
      Would’ve done as well putting three Chuckie Woodson Fatheads out there….

  16. Kato November 20, 2016

    What a joke.

    Hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha

  17. PF4L November 20, 2016

    How can we expect Rodgers to have a 4th quarter comeback with Hundley in there?

    1. icebowl November 20, 2016

      Hahaha…
      Especially after blowing his first snap…

  18. PF4L November 20, 2016

    One of my favorite quotes…..

    McCarthy: ‘We’re not that far away’
    (14:24) By packers.com – Posted Nov 7, 2016