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Predictions: Green Bay Packers at Oakland Raiders

Charles Woodson

Shawn (8-5, 8-5 ATS) — The Green Bay Packers basically have one shot at wrapping up the NFC North before week 17. They need to win these next two games and have the Vikings lose one. If that happens, it’s over and the week 17 match-up might mean nothing. Of course, if the Packers win out, they will have a good shot at the No. 2 seed and the bye.

Despite a two-game winning streak, there is little reason to think the Packers can win out. Their defense has been playing well, but the passing offense has remained one of the worst in the league.

Pretty amazing if you think about it. That isn’t hyperbole, but a cold, hard fact. The Packers have one of the worst passing offenses in the league.

They currently rank 24th in the NFL, behind teams like Miami, Tampa Bay and yes, the Chicago Bears.

Still, believe or not, that doesn’t mean the Packers have no shot at getting where they want to go. They will just have to do it differently than they’ve been trying to and failing, since 2010.

The game against the Cowboys was a blueprint for what the Packers need to do. They need to run the football and utilize Eddie Lacy and James Starks in the passing game as well. With that accomplished, they will only need a minimum of plays from the remainder of their passing game.

It is this same formula that the Packers need to beat the Oakland Raiders on Sunday. Run the football, use the screen game and play defense.

After being a minor league team for a decade, the L.A. Raiders have some pieces in place to actually be respectable and beat some teams. But they aren’t there yet, and the Packers should win this game.

The Packers defense has been good against the pass and suspect against the run. The Raiders don’t run the ball well. I expect the Packers to stop the run and run the ball themselves. The Raiders will make some plays in the passing game, but it won’t be enough.

Packers 28, Raiders 21

Derek Carr and Aaron Rodgers

Monty (7-6, 7-6 ATS) — All week, the talk has been of Charles Woodson and how the Green Bay Packers — specifically, your boy Big Ted — screwed him over. So, yes, I am going to start there.

You know I love Chuck. Full disclosure — possibly my favorite player of all time. Most definitely my favorite active player by a wide margin. One of the greatest defensive backs of all time. One of the greatest defenders of all time. One of the greatest PLAYERS of all time.

I think he’s going to have zero impact on this game.

He might do something that makes you say, “Oh, yeah, Chuck’s still got it!”

I don’t see him dominating or being the difference-maker for the Raiders, though. Seriously, when is the last time you saw a player go into a “revenge game” and just totally beat the shit out of the team or organization they want revenge on?

It just doesn’t happen that often in the NFL because there’s so much pressure on the individual to go in an exact that revenge and this is a team game more so than any other sport. Look at Dez Bryant last week. Pretty sure he wanted some revenge after that non-catch in the playoffs last year.

One catch for nine yards.

The last time someone got some certifiable revenge on the Packers, it was probably that piece of shit Brett Favre the first year he was playing for that much larger pile-of-shit organization, the Minnesota Vikings.

So what does this come down to?

One of those guys above.

That’s right, Derek Carr.

Oh, you thought I was going to say Aaron Rodgers?

No, because Derek Carr is actually having a better season than Aaron Rodgers.

The Raiders can win this game if they can stop the run and Carr outplays Rodgers, neither or which is a stretch.

In fact, the latter is probably likely.

The former, that’s where we have questions.

The Raiders defense is ranked 25th in the league. However, they’re an above average 12th in rush defense, so they have had some success there.

Green Bay needs to establish the run to be successful in Oakland and as a team for the rest of the season. Something’s got to give here and I think it will be the Raiders defense.

As Shawn mentioned, this is a young team that’s getting there. They’re not quite there just yet.

These are the two most telling stats to me. They’re giving up an average of 25.1 points per game and they’re only 2-4 at home.

Not quite there.

This may not be pretty, but the veteran leadership of the Pack and the battering ram that is Ed Lacy come through.

The Packers are getting 3.5 points and we’re going to take those points, just barely.

Packers 24, Raiders 20

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Monty McMahon

Monty McMahon is one of the founders of Total Packers. He is probably the most famous graduate of UW-Oshkosh next to Jim Gantner.

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11 Comments

  1. Jschizl December 20, 2015

    Cowgirls are not a good litmus test for the db that are new. FYI this game is though. If our young corners hold up on this game we really have something. Capers usually befuddles young qbs.

  2. ay hombre December 20, 2015

    Packers are LAYING 3 as favorites.

  3. Zwoeger December 20, 2015

    You all know MM. He’ll likely try to outcoache the opponent thinking they saw the succes with our running game so I conjure up something else and make no adjustments when it fails.

    And of course the Raiders will have a record of some sort with there running game.

  4. Howard December 20, 2015

    The raiders are going to stack the box against the run. We will see if the Pack starts off passing more than many think they should. Cobb, RBs, and TEs should be good to go with no Nate Allen for the raiders. In fact no Nate Allen helps the Packer run game also. Really appreciate Woodson, however he is not going to lower his shoulder into Lacy or Starks. O line will continue to up their game another notch.

    If it rains hard expect Carr to struggle. The tackles for the raiders should give up some pressure and sacks.

    Really like the Packer STs to make some big plays. If Janokowski allows Janis to return kicks, one may go for six.

    Pack need to keep up that 3rd down conversion %. No turnovers by Pack and Pack win. Finish Strong! GO PACK!

  5. Kato December 20, 2015

    Khalil Mack against our tackles scares me. Surprised nothing was mentioned about that matchup.

  6. RC December 20, 2015

    No way Green Bay wins this game…

  7. PF4L December 20, 2015

    “the battering ram that is Ed Lacy”

    Really?

  8. Andy Pants December 20, 2015

    Suck it, Zwoeger and RC.

    1. Zwoeger December 21, 2015

      Nothing to suck here. Raiders made some big runs and of course Eddy was hardly used and Randell saved his game with that lucky interception. Din’t say we’d lose did I?

      1. Andy Pants December 21, 2015

        The interception was no luckier than the Raiders’ fumble recovery, and it came before the second half changes, which you said would not happen and would not work. So I don’t see your point about that. Changes were made and they did work because the Packers doubled offensive production in the second half, outscoring the Raiders 16-7.

        The Raiders rushed for 120 yards on 22 carries (4.8 ypc). This is not close to any record.

        1. Zwoeger December 21, 2015

          Well with that quick traling 14 points they had to pass more didn’t they. I said a record of some sort
          and here it goes:
          Murray set a career high with 15 first-half rushing attempts for 64 yards (4.3 avg.).