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Predictions: Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions

Matthew Stafford wedding, bro

Shawn (7-4, 7-4 ATS) — I’ve missed four straight picks and for the Green Bay Packers’ sake, it better be five.

It has been a long time — probably since Brett’s issues at the Metrodome — since a divisional opponent held any kind of home field advantage against the Packers. The Lions have a shot at building one. The last two times the Packers faced the Lions in Detroit have not been pretty. The cumulative score has been Detroit 59, Green Bay 17.

The Packers struggled to score at Ford Field even before they struggled to score everywhere else, as is now the case. The chances of the Packers breaking out of that rut this week seem remote.

The Lions really only have one pass rusher in Ziggy Ansah, but he’ll be coming from the left side. That’s David Bakhtiari’s side and he has looked injured or simply mediocre all season. In the Thanksgiving Day massacre two seasons ago, Ansah had a field day against Bakhtiari. He will look to do even better this time around.

As usual, the Lions remain soft in the secondary, but that is little concern against the punchless pass game of the Packers. The Lions will concentrate on stuffing the run and forcing the inaccurate Aaron Rodgers to beat them. We’ll see about that.

Offensively, the Lions have played much better lately, mostly thanks to their offensive line playing well. They can suddenly run the football a little and with more time to work with, Matt Stafford has rebounded from the god awful play he started the year with. He still has Calvin Johnson and Golden Tate to throw to, as well as Eric Ebron, who is coming along. Johnson missed some practice this week, but he skips practice all the time. No issue.

If the Packers are to win this game, they have to do what they couldn’t do against the Lions in Green Bay. They need to keep the ball on offense and score some points and they’ll need to pressure Stafford. It isn’t inconceivable, but it also isn’t likely.

I didn’t think the Packers had much of a chance at Minnesota and they proved me wrong. Unfortunately, that game is looking more like the aberration than the loss to Detroit at Lambeau was.

I think the Packers defense and Detroit’s normal 1st quarter sloppiness will keep this game close through the first half, but ultimately, not enough offense for the Packers.

And be hysterical all you want, but this game won’t be the end of the line for the Packers. I still think they have a good shot to finish 10-6 and win the division in the final week, even after losing this game.

Still, lose this game and the Packers will have been swept by the team likely to finish dead last in the division. Think on that and be dismayed.

Lions 30, Packers 16

Detroit Lions banner

Monty (6-5, 6-5 ATS) — Much like the Green Bay Packers, I’ve been on a crap run here myself. And just like most weeks lately, I am befuddled by the line in this game.

It’s pretty much Packers by 3 across the board.

I really don’t get what the Packers have done lately to be favored on the road against anyone.

And that’s just it. They haven’t done anything. They shouldn’t even be favored at home, right now.

These are literally two teams going in opposite directions. Since beating the Packers a few weeks back for the second win of the season, the Lions have won two more and come in on a three-game win streak. The Packers, as you know, have dumped four of their last five.

If you’re looking for any glimmer of hope, that one win in there was on the road versus a divisional opponent, so maybe the Packers can somehow throw together a repeat performance of what happened in Minnesota.

I actually gave the Packers a chance of winning that game IF they did two things — got Eddie Lacy going and got to the quarterback. I was as surprised as anyone when they actually did both of those things and won the game.

The formula is exactly the same here. Get Lacy going, get to Butterball.

If the Packers can do that and perhaps sprinkle in a big play or two from, say, Jared Abbrederis and/or Jeff Janis, they can surely win this game.

The thing is, I have no faith they are capable of doing much of anything at the moment. This certainly looks like a team in turmoil to me. And the worst thing is, they refuse to do anything to change that.

We’ll just keep beating our heads against the wall over here and eventually the answer will come. That’s the way things are currently being done at 1265, where they have a super-awesome plan and they’re sticking to it. Because once we implement a plan, it cannot be changed!

So I expect more of the same.

An offense that can’t score points and a defense that plays well, but just isn’t dominant and can’t come up with that game-changing play.

I won’t say the season is over. Shawn is right. The Vikings come to Lambeau in week 17 and that game could still very well determine the division. I do see another crappy week ahead, though.

Lions 24, Packers 17

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Shawn

Shawn Neuser attended UWGB and lives and works in Green Bay. He enjoys long walks on the beach and being intimate with game film.

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23 Comments

  1. Big Gay Clay December 3, 2015

    We lose this we might as well pack it up for the season. This team doesn’t have the same level of talent that we had when we made our run in 2010.

    1. icebowl December 3, 2015

      Oh ye of little faith …

      Packers win 27-17
      Janis and Lacy go nuts, Ha-Ha and Randall get INTs

  2. Richard December 3, 2015

    Bringing up the 2010 team is just insulting, it might be more accurate comparing these losers to the 1991 squad.

    27-24 Lions. Vegas has gotten the last five Packer game winners incorrect, better make it 6.

    An 8-8 4 way tie is still possible in the North. If it wasn’t for Detroit and Chicago carrying their weight, this division might even be worse than the East

  3. Skinny December 3, 2015

    Monty and Shawn, its over if they lose this game. This team wont win 4 in a row or even 3 out of 4 if they lose this one.

  4. PF4L December 3, 2015

    I have to think the Packers had some come to Jesus moments in the last week. I agree with the other post that say if they lose this game, they are toast. I also have to think the team know this too.

    I think they come out, play fast and battle like the season is on the line, Packers roll by 10.

  5. Kato December 3, 2015

    There is zero chance they beat arizona, they have to win tonight to have a shot at the postseason. They will have a tough time beating the raiders

  6. Deepsky December 3, 2015

    Media folks keep saying that the Packers have more talent and Aaron Rodgers is a great QB and for those reasons they are picking the Packers.

    Something is very wrong with this team, at least with the offensive line, Rodgers and the receivers. They look as bad as any Packer team I’ve seen and I’ve been watching them a long time.

    Until they show they can get their act together you have to treat this like the 1991, 1986, or 1975 Packers. We have to expect them to lose.

  7. Tequila December 3, 2015

    Fuck you for being correct

  8. ferris December 3, 2015

    The line stinks like a manure barge. That mean Green Bay wins in a blowout. Vegas getting everyone on the Lions to take a bunch of money off the betting crowd. Fixed NFL. When you see someone who resembles Roger AKA the commish in the sports book get in line right behind him and bet the same.

    1. MMTTDCSUCK December 3, 2015

      Solid possibility ^

  9. Howard December 3, 2015

    Adversity sure sucks when you or your team is enduring the problems. In this case I think the adversity is good for the Packers. All those blowouts of other teams in past years at home did not help this team when it counts. This team will either toughen up from the adversity or wilt. I think they will be a stronger team from the adversity they are currently enduring.

    This games outcome hinges on a couple of things. The team that converts the most third downs into first downs will win. With that said the Pack cannot allow those big yardage plays like last game with the lions.

    Lacy and Starks need to be ready to produce yards. The bullshit from the last game when Rodgers indicated they passed so often because the lions gave them the pass is just that, Bullshit. Rodgers and company needs to take what they want and forget about taking what the other teams give them.

    This game will be close. The Pack needs to Finish Strong! GO PACK!

  10. Richard December 3, 2015

    To be fair, the Carolina and Denver game lines had manure barge qualities as well (ironically these might all end at GB -2.5 on the road). There was no Green Bay bailout Vegas fix in either of those, I’m not sure I’d expect one this week.

  11. Fritz fm WI December 3, 2015

    This is the AIR BOSS of the USS Green Bay, CVN-74:
    MM, it is a quarter of an hour out, “call the balls”…

    we, the most knowledgeable fans, have given the leaders and coaches all they need to know in order to turn this tail spin around. now, to use their own words, it is time to “execute” and,
    LET’S GET REAAAAADY TO [email protected]#$%$#@!

  12. icebowl December 3, 2015

    You got it Fritz

  13. Adam December 3, 2015

    Down by 17 in the first fucking quarter….

  14. jay December 3, 2015

    This is just fuckin ugly

  15. Adam too December 3, 2015

    For fuck’s sake.

  16. Ivomitonvikingfans December 3, 2015

    Right now they are the worst team in the league. This is a fucking joke.

  17. Kato December 3, 2015

    They will not win another game the rest of the year. And no changes will be made as a result

  18. SC Packfan December 3, 2015

    I am seeing bad pad level…….

  19. Howard December 3, 2015

    FINISH STRONG!!!

  20. Fritz fm WI December 3, 2015

    i broke into tears tonite.

    my man, RR; never lost my faith in him.

    God has ans. all ye of so little faith!

    God works thru mysterious ways. it is called the “equalizing injustice of sport”

    this beautiful, historic TD pass, the longest winning Hail Mary in the history of the sport, was God’s divine, symmetrical closure of the injustice of the Goodell fake refs and the equally improbable “Fail Mary” game.

    and the Lions can take heart. they know that Crosby blowing a routine winning FG last time was equally improbable, and lucky for them then, just as tonite this historic game vindicates this season, this most storied franchise in the history of the sport.

  21. MetsPackersRangers December 3, 2015

    That was unreal. I was the only idiot going nuts at my local watering hole watching this happen.