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Here’s a Totally Misleading Aaron Rodgers’ Stat

Aaron Rodgers

Stats are swell, especially this one right here, right now.

But you can find a stat for just about any situation to construct whatever narrative you want. On the surface, that looks great. The Green Bay Packers are going to win this weekend. Yay!

Maybe I’m skeptical of everything, but I wanted to know which teams the Packers beat following their loss during this streak.

My guess was, this current two-game stretch would be unlike any other because the Packers’ opponents are a combined 13-0 and both games are on the road.

Well, here’s what we learned.

This streak doesn’t include playoff games. When the Packers lost to the 49ers in the wild card round following they 2013 season, they followed that up with a season-opening loss at Seattle in 2014.

It also doesn’t count season-ending losses. The Packers lost at the Vikings to end the 2012 season and then opened the 2013 season with a loss to San Francisco.

They did beat the Vikings in the wild card round the following week, but then they lost at San Francisco in the divisional round and again to start the 2013 season.

So you can’t say Aaron Rodgers has followed up every loss, including playoffs, with a win over the past four years. You also can’t even say Aaron Rodgers has followed up every regular season loss with a regular season win over the past four years because of the season-ending loss in 2012 and the season-opening loss in 2013.

What you can say is Aaron Rodgers hasn’t lost consecutive games in the same season, not including playoffs, in four years.

It should also be noted this streak isn’t a Packers’ streak. When Rodgers was out with a broken collarbone in 2013, the Packers lost three consecutive games before salvaging a tie with Minnesota and then losing another contest.

So already, we’re not terribly impressed.

Here are the teams Rodgers has beaten during this “streak.”

Loss Record Next Game Record Season
@ Buffalo 7-6 @ Tampa Bay 2-12 2014
@ New Orleans 2-4 Chicago 3-5 2014
@ Detroit 1-1 @ Chicago 2-1 2014
@ Seattle 0-0 New York Jets 1-0 2014
Chicago 4-3 @ Chicago 8-7 2013
@ Cincinnati 1-1 Detroit 3-1 2013
@ San Francisco 0-0 Washington 0-1 2013
@ New York Giants 6-4 Minnesota 6-5 2012
@ Indianapolis 1-2 @ Houston 5-0 2012
@ Seattle 1-1 New Orleans 0-3 2012
San Francisco 0-0 Chicago 1-0 2012
@ Kansas City 5-8 Chicago 7-7 2011
@ Detroit 2-10 New York Giants 9-5 2010
@ Atlanta 8-2 San Francisco 4-7 2010

What do you see there?

Well, we’ll start by saying it’s too bad the Bears aren’t on the schedule this week.

You’ll also notice all but two of the losses were on the road. Similarly, only four of the follow-up wins were away from Lambeau Field.

What else?

Of the wins, the only one that is terribly impressive was when the Packers went down to Houston in 2012 and whooped up on the then-undefeated Texans. With the exception of the 2010 New York Giants, the rest of those teams are mediocre or awful.

So don’t get too fired up about Rodgers’ latest “streak.”

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Monty McMahon

Monty McMahon is one of the founders of Total Packers. He is probably the most famous graduate of UW-Oshkosh next to Jim Gantner.

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10 Comments

  1. Big Gay Clay November 5, 2015

    He’s not a road warrior

  2. WINTER IS COMING November 5, 2015

    Rodgers, just go ahead and lose to make these pricks happy. First they attack you for having a bad game, now they are attacking you for winning games. shame on you Rodgers, you aren’t allowed to win.

  3. John Smith November 5, 2015

    LOL, Rodgers can put up big numbers and win against the panthers. BUT you guys know what ? We all seen this shit before and we know the end results. RODGERS IS NOT A WINNER.

  4. Ender November 5, 2015

    YA! Guys who have a Super Bowl ring are not winners. Hey, panini head, are you listening to me?! Now FUCK OFF you fat useless sack of fucking yankee doodle dandly shite. FUCK OFF WILL YA John Smith?!

  5. Shawn November 5, 2015

    No, nothing misleading about it. It is actually pretty impressive. Pointing out that the Packers lost to end seasons and then lost the first game of the following season is a lame-ass argument and Monty knows it. The bottom line is that every time in the last 14 losses that the Packers lost a game and then had to play the following week, they won. Home, away, whatever. 14-0 is 14-0.

  6. The Money Mike November 6, 2015

    Meanwhile the Bengals are 8-0, gee wish we could have drafted Tyler Eifert, 9 TD’s in 8 games with red rocket as his QB…but in Ted we trust right…

    1. MMTTDCSUCK November 6, 2015

      Yep . . . TT the “frugal” GM . . .

    2. Shawn November 6, 2015

      Eifert was drafted 5 picks before the Packers were on the clock.

  7. icebowl November 6, 2015

    Excellent research, however statistically invalid due to small sample size….

    Ugh, can’t believe I wrote thst

  8. MG November 6, 2015

    Truthfully this is one of the most brain-dead posts I’ve ever read.
    Do you really need to find fault with 14-0, 45 TDs and just 5 INT? Do you realize how special that stat line is?

    Now, it’s great that you did your research to try to poke holes in that stat, but what did it reveal? We know that it’s a regular season stat, and doesn’t count the postseason. We also know that it shouldn’t be a carryover from one season to the next. And yes, genius; it’s an Aaron Rodgers stat, so of course, it doesn’t include his (much lesser) backup QBs.

    None of this is written to suggest that beating the Panthers will be easy; I don’t think it will be, but these stats show that the best QB in the NFL is really great in these situations. (Unless you’re still unimpressed with 14-0, more than 3 passing TDs/game and a 9:1 TD:INT ratio,