Sick of this image or replay yet? Probably.
Well, the oddsmakers and sports books aren’t nearly as busted up about Jordy Nelson’s injury as the rest of us are. In fact, if you are looking for some sort of consolation, Vegas appears to be your huckleberry.
As I pointed out before this nightmare began, most oddsmakers had the Green Bay Packers’ over/under win total at 11. For the most part, that has not changed. There were a few sports books that had the over/under at 10.5, and some of those moved to 10 after Jordy’s injury. However, it is my belief that those sports books may be in Seattle or Dallas.
The fact of the matter is that though Aaron Rodgers, Randall Cobb, and Davante Adams are likely going to be individually affected by this injury, the oddsmakers don’t believe the overall fate of the Packers will be affected much at all. According to VegasInsider, the Packers are still the 11/2 favorite to win the Super Bowl and the 3/1 favorite to win the NFC. The line on the Bears’ game Week 1 — Packers (-6.5) — has not changed, though that might have as much to do with who is suiting up for the Bears as it does who is not suiting up for the Packers.
Even the Prediction Machine, whose results were announced this week, joined the party by picking the Packers to win Super Bowl 50. Unfortunately, the Prediction Machine has never correctly picked a Super Bowl winner since it became self-aware in 2011. It has correctly picked ONE of the Super Bowl participants for the past two seasons, but I imagine most of my readers could pull that one off.
So take that for what it’s worth, Packer Nation. A bunch of guys paid to decide such things say the loss of Jordy shouldn’t affect the Packers much at all. I’m sure we are all feeling much better now.
You can see more about the Packers future odds right here.
Rodgers proved he should win MVP every year when the odds after his broken collarbone in 2013 shifted the Eagles-Packers spread anywhere from 7-10 points. Even the Brady suspension is barely shifting that line, proving that Belicheck and the cheating culture carry much more weight than anything Brady does.
Well I hope I’m wrong but I think the oddsmakers are way off on this one. I piled on action for the Packers to win the Super Bowl shortly after the Super Bowl last year, mostly at 8/1 and some at 7/1, and quite honestly I’d sell that action off pretty quickly and would hesitate to take the Packers even at something like 10/1.
It’s not just Jordy, it’s what that next injury could be. There’s no more room for error on the injury front and the longer the Packers don’t tell us what’s wrong with Bakhtiari…well we all know how that stuff historically goes in Green Bay.
Chitko’s line on the Packers to win the Super Bowl: 12/1. No, I don’t want your action and I’m not laying 12/1. I’m too big a fan, but if I was a book, I’d be willing to give a much better number than 11/2 to encourage action my way.
It doesn’t change who I’m cheering for.
Go Pack Go!