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Barring something unforeseen — namely, a long-term injury or sudden, late-season funk — Green Bay Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers is likely on his way to winning his second NFL MVP award.
Like the Packers, Rodgers has shaken off his early-season funk and, in our estimation, is now pretty much running away with this race.
We’re not just being homers either. A month or so ago, we were handing the award to Cowboys running back DeMarco Murray.
Now, it doesn’t even seem close. Let’s go to the stats.
Vegas’ latest odds are such that for every two dollars you bet on Rodgers, you get one dollar. The next best candidate (JJ Watt) is 10-1.
What concerns me is that few NFL MVPs actually win the Super Bowl. The last one to do so was Drew Brees. There about four others since that guy in 96 won it.
No correlation whatsoever.
An MVP candidate should never be measured by the total W’s in my opinion. A player can’t help the way the rest of the team plays, therefore he shouldn’t be judged in any way by means of the win column.
JJ Watt may not get as many sacks as you might think, but that’s because QB’s are always running away from him. He still has the best pass rushing rating on PFF, by a WIDE margin. Best defensive player in the league, no question.
I know it sounds stupid, but I seriously would have traded the entire 2011, and 2012 draft to have been able to select that guy. Even back then I couldn’t help but think that maybe we should trade up to get him or Von Miller. It was just a guy feeling that it would have been worth it. I seriously wish I could talk to Ted Thompson and tell him to do so, it would have been worth it in almost every way.
JP Is just as good as Watts. His stats aren’T as good because Houston doesn’t have any other superstars on their D. And he costs alot more than peppers. If peppers plays like this for the duration of his contract we should get to the SB each of the next 3years.
Are you serious? Nobody in this league is on JJ’s level defensively.
League MVP, Super Bowl MVP or both? My guess is that AR would take them in the opposite order I listed them.
Manning just can’t win it again, at least not until he gets forehead reduction surgery so we don’t have to look at that gourd any more than necessary – what a punkin’ that guy has to tote around.
Luck won’t win it until he does something about that ‘there’s a gorilla trying to escape from my shirt’ neck-beard shit he has going on.
Watt? DPOY, but no more. Nowhere near the whole game impact of a QB, but if someone besides AR wins, I want it to be him.
DeMarco Murray is going to eat a bullet before the end of the season once Romo starts his annual early Christmas gifting, so you can count him out.
I think AR’s good with this one.
Seriously, e wolf? You are concerned because of that?? Do you realize how absolutely fucking retarded that is? One of 12 teams wins, and the one with the MVP wins at a much higher rate than 1/12, so your logic is internally inconsistent. But then that presupposes that somehow voters for an award affect football performances and ball bounces. 0/10
You know about that ‘Reply’ button in the black bar next to the name that comes up when you scroll/hover over it, right?
As to the subject of your post, you do realize that it’s directed to the same idiot that believes in the ‘ancient, mystical power of the oval G’, right? And gets a little chubby every time it hears the words “Brett Favre”?
I am concerned about it, because the NFL MVP award is just frosting on the cake. Without the actual cake….
I will say though that it may be both a good and bad harbinger of thigns to come. On one hand, one would expect more NFL MVPs to be on a Super Bowl Championship team. On the other, the numbers are better than overall odds, even when reduces it down to playoff teams overall.
This column brought to you by the same guy who stated, “Aaron Rodgers is not clutch, ya’ll,” just one year ago. Let me guess, is tomorrow’s headline going to be “Mike McCarthy for Coach of the Year?
My vote as of today goes to Watt. What he’s done this season (albeit on a shit team) is unbelievable.
AR12 would almost have this award in the bag at this point, if it weren’t for the season JJ is having.
Still a month of football left though, so that all can change. Just my honest opinion.
Watt, while dominant, is NOT an MVP candidate in my opinion. He simply doesn’t touch the ball enough. Yes, he’s practically unblockable. But if were truly THAT good, his team would be in better standing than it is because he’s that awesome. Would the Pack be 9 and 3 without Rodgers? ummm…no.
Rodgers is the man. Beginning and end of list. And statistics are not nearly enough to say why. He’s not played in 4 or 5 quarters of football to further pad his stats due to blowouts.
The MVP is A-Rodge’s to lose at this point.
Team success is a big factor in MVP voting, whether you agree with it or not. That is what the OPOY and DPOY are for.
The MVP sure as hell isn’t going to anyone whose team didn’t make the playoffs. That eliminates Watt.
That being said, Rodgers won’t have the MVP wrapped up until the Packers take the division. If the Packers lose to the Bills and Lions and are only good for a wildcard, then that would bring Manning and Luck back into the picture.
If the Packers go 3-1, they will win the division, take a top seed, and Rodgers will win the MVP.
Mvp should be about most important thing which is how much impact a player has on wins and losses. With out rodgers packers will have 3 wins all season. With him they are best in nfl and favorite to win SB. Watt maybe helps houston win a couple more games at best.
Houston is not going to the playoffs. End of story. Nobody is interested in a MVP that is stuck on a shit team. The media already overhypes individual stats too much, as this is not BB where individual stats are more correlated to individual talent. Altho i will note that the modern aerial game has drawn attention to QB W-L performance almost to the extent that P W-L is used as a yardstick in BB. BACK IN THE DAY if a QB took more then half the snaps he would wind up eventually in the H with broken ribs, just ask Bart Starr!
If JJ Watt were “most valuable” his team would be winning. Remove him from the team and what happens? Lose worse but still not making the playoffs? Big deal.