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What Can The Vikings Expect From Favre?

All eyez on me

That’s the $16.5 million question, I guess.

Brett Favre had the best season of his career at age 40 for the Minnesota Vikings, last season. He threw for 4,202 yards, the third highest total of his career. He threw for 33 touchdowns, which is tied for the fourth highest in his career. Most impressively, he threw only seven interceptions, which is the lowest total of his career since he’s been a starter. He also had the highest completion percentage of his career at 68.4 percent.

You can argue that one of his MVP seasons were better, but when you add it up, I think last season was Favre’s best, particularly because he didn’t give games away by throwing interceptions.

So, you have to wonder what to expect from Favre and the Minnesota Vikings this season. Statistically speaking, it’s unlikely Favre will be able to duplicate last season, especially at age 41 on a gimpy ankle.

Another reason a duplicate performance is unlikely is the New Orleans Saints showed the entire league how to beat (and beat up) Favre and the Vikings in the NFC Championship game, last season. That approach alone will likely yield more interceptions for opposing defenses.

There are too many variables to get a real gauge on how Favre will perform in 2010, but we did a quick statistical breakdown of his career to get an idea. Throwing out Favre’s first year in Atlanta, when he threw only four passes, Favre’s average career line looks like this:

3,852 yards, 27 touchdowns, 17 interceptions and a 62 percent completion percentage

That’s a pretty nice year, unless you’re being counted on to be a franchise savior. Adding 10 interceptions and subtracting six touchdowns from last year’s totals is probably the difference in two games.

The Vikings are still a solid 10-6 in that scenario, but it’s hard to see them winning the division with that mark.

Ultimately, the point here is Favre is likely to come back to earth a little bit and the Vikings aren’t likely to be as good, which is good news for the Green Bay Packers.

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Monty McMahon

Monty McMahon is one of the founders of Total Packers. He is probably the most famous graduate of UW-Oshkosh next to Jim Gantner.

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19 Comments

  1. Abe Frohman August 22, 2010

    Matt – please tell us in nauseating detail why this post is somehow wrong….

  2. Kevin_WI August 22, 2010

    The Vikings Defense is even better this year. Favre won’t have to be near as good.
    Packers will again be the bridesmaids in the Division.
    Also, they better pray that Rogers doesn’t get hurt. Vikes at least have a chance with their backups. GB doesn’t have a prayer.

  3. TJ August 22, 2010

    More like a $20-24 million question including signing bonus and potential incentives.

  4. PackerFanInFL August 22, 2010

    Yah you got “the gipper” BrINT on one side, 14lbs over weight with and over bearing coach trying to manage and over bearing ego..the impending implosion will be fun to watch.

  5. Vijay August 22, 2010

    You know McMahon, for this being an ALL Packers site, your spending an awful lot of time on our former QB instead of discussing items like why its time to fire Shawn Slocum and his shitty special teams, etc.

  6. jeff ircink August 22, 2010

    TJ – don’t forget the $8mil that’s owed to Favre from last season. subtract that from whatever he’s getting this year, be it $20-24 mil or $28 mil…depends on which “journalists’ ” article you read.

    1. jeremy August 22, 2010

      That’s very interesting. I was not aware they owed him money from last season. I didn’t even know that was allowed in the NFL. You’d think given the fact that he personally filled the Metrodome they would have the funds to settle up.

      1. Abe Frohman August 22, 2010

        Yeah, they got Favre on lay away.

  7. jeff ircink August 22, 2010

    hey, hey…..what did Vijay just say?????????????

  8. jeff ircink August 22, 2010

    though i will say i have no problems with this article (like any of you care what i think). it’s general coverage of a QB in the NFC North. nice job, Monty.

  9. joe August 22, 2010

    Another story on brent and no story on yesterdays preseason game?? I come here for packers news.. if i wanted to see what brent farvra is doing, id tune into espn, nfl network, cbs, fox, comedy central, tnt, tbs, or any other place where hes on 24/7. Lay off the brent stories dude… its getting old and its starting to seem like you have a man crush on him

  10. MAD City Packer Fan August 22, 2010

    Wow Monty is being nice for a change! lol

  11. jeremy August 22, 2010

    I’m wondering who Favre is going to throw the ball to? The Vikings better hope Harvin’s headaches and Rice’s hip get better quick.

    1. Al Borland's Beard August 22, 2010

      His old buddy Javon obviously.

      1. PackerFanInFL August 23, 2010

        I thought he was pissed at the ‘All Mighty Intercetpion King’ one for dissing him for skipping training camp back in 2005 (hypocrit since then BrINT has skipped all of training camp).

        Two bad Knees, and an attitude on par with Albert Haynsworths..I welcome this move!

  12. matt fox August 24, 2010

    I mean, this article isnt too bad really, and makes logical, opinionated arguments. It IS another article on Favre, and even your Packer supporting fans are starting to get annoyed, but you guys already know that. I mean I disagree with some of the opinions, but it’s really all just speculation and we really dont know shit until the guy goes out there and starts playing, but make all the predictions you want. I just expect you to hold Thompson accountable when he runs another “superbowl team” to no playoff wins.

    1. tequila August 24, 2010

      Matt, your story is an old and sorry one. Have a great year as a ‘football’ fan with no team.

  13. Abe Frohman August 24, 2010

    given recent developments, I think the real question is what can Favre expect from the Vikings? Do you think he’d have come back if he knew that Harvin’s migraines would derail him from all of training camp and potentially parts of the season (much less his career) and that Rice would be out for about half the season? Greg Lewis, Javon Walker, and Bernard Berrian? Please…That’s not going to get it done. Shiancoe is more than serviceable at TE and of course AP is outstanding. Is that enough? Time will tell. As they say, that’s why they play the games.

  14. matt fox August 26, 2010

    Abe, that makes no sense and has absolutely no relation to what I just said. Ted Thompson’s accountability as the Packers GM is not related to what Favre is expecting from the Vikings receiving corps. Are you fucking retarded? Do you not like the Green Bay Packers or something?