From the Take From This What You Will Department…
After 10,001 simulations run on the remainder of the NFL schedule, the Green Bay Packers make the playoffs at 10-6. That is, if you believe What If Sports, which runs said simulations based on some sort of mumbo jumbo that isn’t terribly clear.
From what I gather, wins and losses are “calculated by summing the win and loss probabilities” in each team’s remaining games.
So, what else did we learn?
Current division leaders Minnesota and New Orleans will win their divisions at 12-4 and 15-1, respectively. Dallas will win the NFC East at 11-5. San Francisco will win the West at 9-7 and Philadelphia will join the Packers as a wild card at 10-6.
There you have it. Now you don’t even have to watch the NFL until the playoffs.
Seriously, though, we broke down the NFL based on performance thus far, on Tuesday. A lot of things can change between now and January, but I would generally agree with the simulation results.
The Saints and Vikings are very likely to earn the top two seeds in the NFC bracket. However, I still like the Eagles better than the Cowboys in the East and Cardinals better than the 49ers in the West.
The Cowboys don’t impress me, and as much as I want to cheer for the Wisconsin guy, Tony Romo has never won the big game. Arizona is the picture of inconsistency, but it’s hard to see a 49ers team with that offense making the playoffs.
Can the Packers make it as a wild card? Sure they can, but there’s a long road ahead.
Oh, and if you’re wondering where the Chicago Bears are, well, they’re 8-8 and not going anywhere but home.
Not sure about What if Sports, but I am sure about Football Outsiders DVOA. The Packers are rated 6th in overall team efficiency. Before you have a kinip, it doesn’t account for stupid shit like…
-Calling 52 yard field goals you know your kicker won’t hit. (52 yard field goals are only compared to 52 yard field goals.)
-Leading the Universe in penalties. (only plays from scrimmage count.)
-Kicking to Percy Harvin. Duh! (Your only compared to the other shit heads who kick to the Vikings)
-Overall poor coaching and game planning decision making.
-Not help blocking your rookie tackle against Jared Allen.
What is says is the Packer players could get it done if the were put in a decent position by the coaching staff.
well said, Jeremy and Monty.